What are the projected trends for type 1 diabetes cases over the next two decades?

### Projected Trends for Type 1 Diabetes A recent study estimates that the number of people with type 1 diabetes could surge to 17.4 million over the next two decades, primarily driven by increased cases in adults. Currently, around 8.4 million people worldwide live with this condition. The study also found that an additional 3.7 million people would have been alive last year if type 1 diabetes hadn't prematurely ended their lives. Type 1 diabetes, once known as juvenile diabetes, is no longer predominantly a childhood condition. Half of the new cases diagnosed last year were in people older than 39. More new cases were diagnosed in adults (316,000) than in children and adolescents (194,000). This shift suggests that treatment programs need to adapt to better serve adults. Type 1 diabetes is an autoimmune condition where the body can't produce enough insulin to regulate blood sugar levels. It can't be prevented, and those affected need to monitor their blood sugar and inject insulin regularly. This condition is less common than type 2 diabetes, which is often linked to obesity and aging and can sometimes be prevented by maintaining a healthy weight. The study used a mathematical model to analyze global trends based on data from 97 countries. It found that ten countries, including the United States, India, and China, account for 60% of global cases. One in five people with type 1 diabetes lives in a low- or middle-income country. Alarmingly, 20% of deaths from type 1 diabetes are due to undiagnosed cases, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. The study emphasizes the need for better care standards, universal access to insulin, and increased awareness of type 1 diabetes symptoms to ensure timely diagnosis. Symptoms can include frequent urination, thirst, fatigue, and numbness in hands and feet, as well as nausea and stomach pains. While the study has some limitations, such as limited data for adults and low-income countries, it highlights the urgent need for enhanced surveillance and data collection to better understand and combat this growing health issue.